NewsWire
from Demography

Russia Enters Negative Population Growth Territory

Russia’s brief demographic rebound is over: The country's YoY population growth rate is projected to hit -1.5% in 2019. Not even rising fertility rates can stop Russia’s historically small young adult cohorts from sending the country into net population decline territory.

MercatorNet

Howe

In 2018, Russia reported its first overall population decline in a decade (since 2008). Vladimir Putin claims credit for reversing Russia's demographic decline. And he probably deserves credit, since Russia's total fertility rate (TFR) began rebounding from its late-1990s trough right around the time he took power. Unfortunately, that much-higher TFR can only do so much against the impact of the emerging dearth of women in the high-fertility age brackets (age 20 to 30). The best Russia can do is keep the TFR up and wait until that Yeltsin-era famine passes. (See: "Russia's Demographics Are Anomalous.") By the early 2030s, the children of Putin's own fertility recovery will begin to make a difference.